Mexican legend Saul Alvarez is fancied to regain his WBC super-middleweight title at the expense of Christian Mbilli in Riyadh on Saturday . Canelo may be in the latter stages of his incredible career at the age of 36, but most pundits believe he will still prove a class apart from his unbeaten opponent, who is relatively untested at this level.
It is five years since the favourite secured a victory inside the distance, but 7/2 for him to buck that trend and prevail by KO, TKO or disqualification here is tempting enough to be our first Saul Alvarez vs Christian Mbilli prediction.
Betting Odds
Saul Alvarez vs Christian Mbilli Betting Odds
Boxer | Odds | Chance |
|---|---|---|
Saul Alvarez | 4/11 | 73.3% |
Christian Mbilli | 11/5 | 31.3% |
Draw | 14/1 | 6.7% |
Saul Alvarez is the 4/11 favourite to win this fight, with Christian Mbilli 11/5 and the draw 14/1.
How to Watch
How to watch Saul Alvarez vs Christian Mbilli
This weekend’s big fight will be broadcast live by DAZN on pay-per-view, with the ring walks for the main event set to start at approximately 20:30 GMT.
Form Guides
Saul Alvarez form guide
Canelo surrendered this belt and his WBA, IBF and WBO titles when outpointed by the excellent Terence Crawford in a Las Vegas blockbuster 14 months ago. Any thoughts of finding an easier assignment for his next bout were dismissed when Alvarez quickly activated a rematch clause, but Crawford’s subsequent retirement forced a rethink.
That was just a third defeat in 68 fights for the Mexican , who had only previously lost to underrated light-heavyweight champion Dmitry Bivol and the great Floyd Mayweather . Among Canelo’s many top-notch victims are Gennady Golovkin , who he beat twice after an initial draw, Amir Khan , Miguel Cotto and Shane Mosley.
The evergreen veteran has been involved in some of the biggest box-office events of all time and remains one of the highest earners in sport heading into this contest, so the fact he is still hungry for success tells us everything we need to know about his attitude.
Although not possessing huge one-punch power, Canelo does hit heavily enough to wear down his latest foe and 11/2 for him to prevail in rounds 7-12 is another value option from the Alvarez vs Mbilli odds.
Christian Mbilli form guide
Mbilli was born in Cameroon but has done all of his professional fighting out of Canada , rattling off 29 straight wins and claiming the interim WBC super-middleweight title with a first-round knockout of Maciej Sulecki 16 months ago.
However, his 100 per cent record slipped when held to a draw by Lester Martinez on the undercard of the Canelo-Crawford clash at Allegiant Stadium . With 24 victories inside the distance, the 31-year-old clearly has the power to trouble Alvarez , especially as he also possesses decent speed. Mbilli’s tactics are a touch one-dimensional, though, and a predictable, albeit relentless, come-forward gameplan could make him tailor-made for a smart counter-puncher like Canelo .
Many will see 8/11 for the Mexican superstar to prevail on points as the safest bet, but we just feel he can get in some hurtful body shots to slow down Mbilli and then break his spirit to secure a late stoppage. For those wanting a bigger pay-out, let’s add 22/1 for a 10 th -round success to our Alvarez vs Mbilli betting tips.
Betting Tips
Saul Alvarez vs Christian Mbilli Betting Tips
Alvarez to win by KO, TKO or disqualification @ 7/2
Alvarez to prevail in rounds 7-12 @ 11/2
Alvarez to win in 10th round @ 22/1
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