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Birmingham v Newcastle Prediction, Tips, & Best Bet – FA Cup

Bill Gaine on Feb 8, 2025 at 05:30 AM
St Andrews Home of Birmingham City FC

We have a Birmingham v Newcastle prediction for you plus a breakdown of the betting odds, team news and matchups ahead of their FA Cup fourth-round tie.

Birmingham are the current League One leaders currently 4 points clear of closest challengers Wycombe and are unbeaten in their last 18 matches across all competitions..

Despite their defeat at the weekend Newcastle are in fine form and booked their place in the EFL Cup Final midweek when they had another 2-0 victory against Arsenal.

When is Birmingham v Newcastle?

Birmingham v Newcastle will take place on Saturday at 5.45 pm.

TV Channel

BBC 1

Where is Birmingham v Newcastle Being Played?

St Andrew’s, Birmingham, England

Birmingham v Newcastle Odds

Team

Odds

Chance

Birmingham

15/4

21.1%

Newcastle

1/2

66.7%

Draw

10/3

23.1%

Home side Birmingham are 15/4 outsiders for this game.

Birmingham to win – 15/4

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Visitors Newcastle are favourites heading into this one at odds of 1/2 per the latest football odds at BoyleSports. The draw is seen as a 7/2 chance.

Newcastle to win – 1/2

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Handicap Betting

Birmingham +1 @ 13/8

Newcastle -1 @ 23/20

Handicap Draw +1 @ 11/4

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Birmingham v Newcastle Preview

Birmingham’s Form

Birmingham had a turbulent 23/24 season running through seven different managerial reigns for a multitude of reasons: Eustace, Rooney, Spooner, Mowbray, Venus, Rowett and Mowbray again. It’s rather remarkable with such managerial change that they still amassed 50 points only missing out on survival due to them having 1 less point than Plymouth.

Despite last season, the Birmingham board and investors put considerable investment into the club in the off-season so were expected to have an immediate return to the Championship. It's gone as planned since with them currently leading League 1 with points and games in hand over those around them while also safely navigating the first three rounds of the FA Cup.

24/25 FA Cup Run

First Round – Sutton United 0-1 Birmingham

Second Round– Brighton 2-3 Birmingham

Third Round – Birmingham 2-1 Lincoln City

Birmingham’s best finish in the FA Cup was when they finished as runners-up in both 1931 and 1956.

Birmingham’s Last Five Results

Stevenage 0-1 Birmingham | February 4th | Win

Birmingham 2-1 Rotherham | February 1st | Win

Huddersfield 0-1 Birmingham | January 28th | Win

Wrexham 1-1 Birmingham | January 23rd | Draw

Birmingham 1-0 Exeter City | January 18th | Win

4 Wins and 1 Draw

Newcastle’s Form

Since the Saudi takeover, the rise in the club's stature has been constant albeit slower than City’s previous rise (due to PSR Rules). Last season they were consistent across competitions being competitive in the Champions League “Group of Death” finishing 7th in the league and reaching the Quarter-Finals in both the EFL and FA Cup.

This season was always going to be interesting to assess whether they would become a more considerable force domestically in the absence of European commitments. That’s duly transpired, currently 6th in the Premier League and into the EFL Cup final the Saudi success story seems to be only a case of when and not if in the coming months and years.

24/25 FA Cup Run

Third Round – Newcastle 3-1 Bromley

Newcastle last tasted silverware back in 1955 when they ironically won this competition they’ve won this competition 6 times though and have finished runners-up on 7 occasions.

Newcastle’s Last Five Results

Newcastle 2-0 Arsenal | February 5th | Win

Newcastle 1-2 Fulham | February 1st | Loss

Crystal Palace 1-1 Newcastle | November 30th | Draw

Newcastle 0-2 West Ham | November 25th | Loss

Nottingham Forest 1-3 Newcastle | November 10th | Win

2 Wins, 2 Losses and 1 Draw

Birmingham v Newcastle Predicted Lineups

Birmingham Predicted Starting XI (4-2-3-1)

GK: Peacock-Farrell

RB: Bielik, CB: Klarer, CB: Hanley, LB: Cochrane

CM: Dowell, CM: Leonard,

RW: Wright, AM: Jutkiewicz, LW: Harris

CF: May

Newcastle Predicted Starting XI(4-3-3)

GK: Dubravka.

RB: Livramento, CB: Schar, CB: Burn, LB: Hall

RM: Tonali, CM: Guimarães, LM: Joelinton

RW: Murphy CF: Isak, LW: Gordon

Birmingham v Newcastle Head-To-Head Results & Stats

All-Time Head-To-Head Record

Birmingham wins: 33

Newcastle wins: 46

Draws: 32

Head-To-Head Results Last Five Matches

Birmingham 0-0 Newcastle | Championship | May 18th, 2017

Newcastle 3-1 Birmingham | FA Cup | January 18th, 2017

Birmingham 1-1 Newcastle | Championship | January 7th, 2017

Newcastle 4-0 Birmingham | Championship | December 10th, 2016

Newcastle 2-1 Birmingham | Premier League | May 7th, 2011

Key Players To Watch

Jay Stansfield – Birmingham

Capped at multiple underage levels for England, Stansfield (22) first appeared on loan for Birmingham last season in the Championship and despite their relegation, he was an impressive performer scoring 12 times in 43 games.

Stansfield is a well-rounded attacker with both a physical presence to hold up the ball and bring others into the game as well as the technical skill to cause opponents trouble on his own.

This season he has 18 goals and 1 assist in 27 games across all competitions. He can be gotten at 8/1 to score first or at 5/2 to score at any time.

Jay Stansfield anytime goal – 5/2

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Alexander Isak – Newcastle

The “New Zlatan” (25) is one of the most potent finishers in the Premier League and as his nickname suggests also has the skill and holding-the-ball-up ability of his legendary compatriot.

This season he has continued his flying form from last year with 19 goals and 5 assists in 27 games. He is 5/2 to score first in this game and 4/6 to score anytime.

Alexander Isak first goalscorer – 5/2

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Birmingham v Newcastle Prediction & Best Bet

Prediction: Birmingham 0-3 Newcastle

Birmingham are undergoing a flying unbeaten run and head into this game full of confidence with little pressure on them to succeed.

Newcastle were excellent midweek against Arsenal and it’ll be interesting to see if they rotate from that game, but no matter the side they put out, they should be far too good for Birmingham.

For me, Newcastle win with at least a goal to spare.

Best Bet: Newcastle -1 @ 11/8

Newcastle -1 – 11/8

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*Prices are subject to fluctuation.

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