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Barcelona v Real Madrid  Prediction, Preview & Best Bet – La Liga

Bill Gaine on May 9, 2025 at 11:56 AM
La Liga Football 2023 24

We have a Real Madrid v Barcelona prediction for you, plus a breakdown of the betting odds, team news and matchups ahead of their huge La Liga fixture.

Barcelona were knocked out midweek in the Champions League following a 4-3 thriller with Inter.

Real kept their title hopes alive last weekend with a 3-2 win over Celta Vigo.

How To Watch Barcelona v Real Madrid

When is Barcelona v Real Madrid?

Barcelona v Real Madrid will take place on Sunday at 3.15 pm

TV Channel

Premier Sports 1

Where is Barcelona v Real Madrid Being Played?

Estadi Olímpic Lluís Companys

Barcelona v Real Madrid Odds

Team

Odds

Chance

Barcelona

4/5

55.6%

Real Madrid

2/1

33.3%

Draw

14/5

26.3%

Barcelona are 4/5 for this game.

Barcelona to win - 4/5

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Real Madrid can be gotten at  2/1 to win per the latest football odds at BoyleSports, and if you fancy a draw, that is priced at 14/5.

Real Madrid to win - 2/1

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Handicap Betting

Barcelona - 1 @ 21/10

Real Madrid + 1 @ 20/23

Handicap Draw -1 @ 16/5

Bet on Spanish Football Odds at BoyleSports

Barcelona v Real Madrid Preview

Barcelona’s Form

It’s a new dawn for Barcelona Football Club, and though Lionel Messi is long gone, they’ve seemingly achieved the most impossible task of all in unearthing teenage sensation Lamine Yamal, who is already among the best in the world and scarily may have the potential to come close to replicating his predecessor's legacy. The Catalans have already had success this season in the Copa del Rey and Supercopa de España.

Despite fighting gallantly in a two-legged thriller against Inter in the last two weeks in their Champions League semi-final. In the end, they fell to a 4-3 defeat on the night following a 99th-minute goal from Frattesi, which denied them their quadruple dreams for the season. Though statistically they were marginally the better side with 71% of possession and an XG of 2.81 from 22 shots to 29% and an XG of 2.28 from 13 shots, games are not won on spreadsheets, and the key stat favoured Inter.

Ahead of this game, they can take a huge step toward a La Liga title even by avoiding defeat on Sunday. The main challenge for them will be to reset their mindset and bodies from their marathon thriller with Inter.

Barcelona’s Last Five Results

Inter 4-3 Barcelona | May 6th | Loss

Valladolid 1-2 Barcelona | May 3rd | Win

Barcelona 3-3 Inter | April 30th | Draw

Barcelona 3-2 Real Madrid | April 26th | Win

Barcelona 1-0 Mallorca | April 22nd | Win

3 Wins, 1 Draw and 1 Loss

Real Madrid’s Form

Real had a sensational 23/24, which culminated in a La Liga and Champions League double. Then came the long-anticipated signing of Kylian Mbappé on a free transfer from PSG during the summer and earlier season trophies in the UEFA Super Cup and FIFA Intercontinental Cup. This latest iteration of the  Galácticos promised to be dominant in the major competitions with players like Bellingham, Mbappé, and Vinicius among the stellar star list.

However, Madrid have seemingly lost their bottle in the second half of the season, losing in both the Supercopa Final and the Copa del Rey finals against Barcelona and getting knocked out of the Champions League by Arsenal in the quarter-finals. In La Liga, though, they’ve now won their last 4 matches.

Though they will be dissatisfied with how their season has ended, they’re still in a La Liga title race, and a win in this game would blow it wide open again with 3 league games remaining.

Real Madrid’s Last Five Results

Real Madrid 3-2 Celta Vigo | May 4th | Win

Barcelona 3-2 Real Madrid | April 26th | Loss

Getafe 0-1 Real Madrid | April 23rd | Win

Real Madrid 1-0 Athletic Club | April 20th | Win

Real Madrid 1-2 Arsenal  | April 16th | Loss

3 Wins  and 2 Losses

Barcelona v Real Madrid Predicted Lineups

Barcelona’s Predicted Starting XI (4-2-3-1)

GK: Szczesny

RB: Garcia, CB: Cubarsi, CB: Martinez, LB: Martin

CM: Pedri, CM: De Jong

RW: Yamal, AM: Olmo , LW: Raphinha

CF: Lewandowski

Real Madrid Predicted Starting XI(4-2-3-1)

GK: Courtois

RB: Vazquez, CB: Tchouaméni, CB: Asencio, LB: Garcia

CM: Valverde, CM: Ceballos

RW: Guler, AM: Bellingham, LW: Vinicius

CF: Mbappé

Barcelona v Real Madrid Head-To-Head Results & Stats

All-Time Head-To-Head Record

Barcelona wins: 103

Real Madrid wins: 106

Draws: 51

Head-To-Head Results: Last Five Matches

Barcelona 3-2 Real Madrid | Copa del Rey | April 26th, 2025

Real Madrid 2-5 Barcelona | Supercopa | January 12th, 2025

Real Madrid 0-4 Barcelona | La Liga | October 26th, 2024

Real Madrid 3-2 Barcelona | La Liga | April 14th, 2024

Real Madrid 4-1 Barcelona | Super Cup | January 14th, 2024

Key Players To Watch

Robert Lewandowski  - Barcelona

The veteran striker might be approaching his 37th birthday this summer, but in terms of raw finishing ability, he has hardly regressed a step, with a tally of 40 goals and 3 assists from 49 games this season.

He returned from a muscle injury for 30 minutes off the bench midweek but will likely be back in the starting lineup Sunday to face Real, looking to add to his record of 11 goals and 4 assists in 17 games against the club He is 4/1 to score first in this game and 20/23 to score anytime.

Lewandowski first goal -4/1

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Kylian Mbappe - Real Madrid

There was a massive amount of excitement, expectation levels and pressure when Mbappé finally made his move to Madrid from PSG during the summer transfer window.

Despite a slow start to his life at Real Madrid, he has looked like the Mbappé of old in recent weeks and has a tally for the season of 35 goals and 4 assists from 51 matches in all competitions. He is 5/1 to score first and 11/10 to score at any point.

Mbappe anytime goal - 11/10

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Barcelona v Real Madrid Prediction & Best Bet

Prediction: Barcelona 2-1 Real Madrid

If Barcelona can bounce back from their midweek defeat in Europe, they will take a huge step toward another La Liga title.

Real have hit the crossbar multiple times against their bitter rivals this season, but a win here would make the title race tight again.

The El Clásico always delivers goals, cards and drama, and Sunday will be no different, but I think the Catalan outfit should have that bit more about them.

Best Bet: BTTS + Barcelona Win – 7/4

BTTS + Barcelona Win – 7/4

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Bet on Spanish Football Odds at BoyleSports

*Prices subject to fluctuation

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