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Aston Villa v Newcastle Prediction, Preview & Best Bet– Premier League

Bill Gaine on Apr 18, 2025 at 02:44 PM
Villa Park Home of Aston Villa

We have an Aston Villa v Newcastle prediction for you plus a breakdown of the betting odds, team news and matchups ahead of a crucial game in the Race For Europe.

Aston Villa are coming off a heroic midweek win over PSG 3-2 just falling short of reaching the Champions League semi-finals.

Newcastle continued their flying form with a midweek 5-0 hammering of Crystal Palace.

How To Watch Aston Villa v Newcastle

When is Aston Villa v Newcastle?

Aston Villa v Newcastle will take place on Saturday at 5:30 pm

TV Channel

Sky Sports Premier League, Sky Sports Main Event

Where is Aston Villa v Newcastle Being Played?

Villa Park

Aston Villa v Newcastle Odds

Team

Odds

Chance

Aston Villa

11/8

42.1%

Newcastle

7/4

36.4%

Draw

5/2

28.6%

Aston Villa are priced as an 11/8 favourite to win.

Aston Villa to win - 11/8

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Newcastle are currently priced as a 7/4 outsider per the latest football odds at BoyleSports and the draw is currently priced at 5/2

Newcastle to win - 7/4

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Handicap Betting

Aston Villa: -1 @ 7/2

Newcastle +1 @ 4/7

Handicap Draw -1 @ 16/5

Bet on Premier League Odds at BoyleSports

Aston Villa v Newcastle Preview

Aston Villa’s Form     

Since Unai Emery was appointed in November 2022, Aston Villa have become one of the most consistent sides in not just the Premier League but also in Europe finishing his first full season with the club with the club 4th in the Premier League and the Europa Conference League semi-final. Their trajectory has continued this season narrowly missing out on a Champions League semi-final and with 6 games remaining only trail Newcastle in 3rd place by 5 points.

Midweek against PSG any hopes of a historic comeback were seemingly put the bed early when Hakimi and a Mendes goal put them 1-5 behind on aggregate and with everything to do. However, what transpired next was a sensational comeback with Tielemans (34th), McGinn (55th) and Konsa (57th) meant with a little over half an hour remaining they stood a chance of the most unlikely of comebacks. But it wasn’t to be, and they excited the Champions League.

While Aston Villa were exceptional midweek, I do feel that they could suffer from a post-Champions League hangover given the dramatic nature of said win over PSG.

Aston Villa’s Last Five Results

Aston Villa 3-2 PSG | April 15th | Win

Southampton 0-3 Aston Villa | April 12th | Win

PSGP 3-1 Aston Villa | April 9th | Win

Aston Villa 2-1 Nottingham Forrest | April 5th | Win

Brighton 0-3 Aston Villa | April 2nd | Win

4 Wins and 1 Loss

Newcastle’s Form     

Since the Saudi takeover of the club in  2021 the club has undergone a steady and consistent rise in stature and consistency going from relegation worries early in their ownership to qualifying and competing in the Champions League along with also reaching an EFL Cup Final. This season they took another step towards the club's evolution following their 1-2 EFL Cup victory last month over Liverpool. In the Premier League, they’re 3rd with 6 games remaining and 4 back of Arsenal ahead of them.

Newcastle midweek made it 6 consecutive wins in all competitions and 5 in the Premier League following a 5-0 hammering of Crystal Palace. The most notable stat from the game (aside from the score) was that Newcastle only accumulated an XG of 2.33 from 14 shots compared to the Crystal Palace total of 2.38 from 11 shots. It showed how ruthless they were in front of goal.

It's already been a historic season for the club and they’re riding a wave of momentum that makes them a very difficult proposition for any of their opponents.

Newcastle’s Last Five Results

Newcastle 5-0 Crystal Palace | April 16th | Win

Newcastle 4-1 Man United | April 13th | Win

Leicester 0-3 Newcastle | April 7th | Win

Newcastle 2-1 Brentford | April 2nd | Win

Liverpool 1-2 Newcastle | March 16th | Win

2 Wins and 3 Losses

Aston Villa v Newcastle Predicted Lineups

Aston Villa’s Predicted Starting XI (4-2-3-1)

GK: Martinez

RB: Cash, CB: Torres, CB: Disasi , LB: Maatsen

CM: Onana, CM: Tielemans

RW: Rogers, AM: McGinn, LW: Rashford

CF: Watkins

Newcastle Predicted Starting XI(4-3-3)

GK: Pope.

RB: Trippier, CB: Schar, CB: Burn, LB: Livramento

DM: Tonali, RM: Guimarães, LM: Joelinton

RW: Murphy CF: Isak, LW: Barnes

Aston Villa v Newcastle Head-To-Head Results & Stats

All-Time HeadTo-Head Record

Aston Villa wins: 59

Newcastle wins: 76

Draws: 39

Head-To-Head Results

Newcastle 3-0 Aston Villa  | Premier League | December 26th, 2024

Aston Villa  1-3 Newcastle | Premier League | January 30th, 2024

Newcastle 5-1 Liverpool | Premier League | August 12th, 2023

Aston Villa 3-0 Newcastle | Premier League | April 15th, 2023

Newcastle 4-0 Aston Villa | Premier League | October 29th, 2022

Key Players To Watch

Marcus Rashford - Aston Villa

There’s very little to say that hasn’t been said when it comes to Marcus Rashford (27) both in a positive and negative sense. However, the one thing that can’t be dismissed is despite his clear talent, his stock has fallen considerably, which is why he was sent to Aston Villa on loan.

Rashford is a confidence player, and he looks to be slowly growing again following another solid showing against PSG midweek, he can be gotten at 11/2 to score first or 13/8 to score at any point.

Rashford anytime goal - 7/4

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Alexander Isak - Newcastle

The “New Zlatan” (25) is one of the most potent finishers in the Premier League and as his nickname suggests also has the skill and holding-the-ball-up ability of his legendary compatriot.

This season he has 25 goals and 6 assists across 37 games in all competitions including 21 and 6 assists in 29 league games. He is 9/2 to score first in this game and 5/4 to score anytime.

Isak first goal - 9/2

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Aston Villa v Newcastle Prediction & Best Bet

Prediction: Aston Villa 1-2 Newcastle

Aston Villa came agonisingly close to bringing their midweek tie with PSG midweek but require another win here to stay in touch with the Champions League places for next season.

Newcastle have been exceptional since their EFL Cup victory and with 6 games remaining stand an outside chance of finishing as Premier League runners-up.

Two sides flying at the moment, but I think Newcastle are a great bet given their head-to-head record recently, their form and the potential of a Villa Champions League hangover.

Best Bet: Newcastle - 7/4

Newcastle to win - 7/4

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Bet on Premier League Odds at BoyleSports

*Prices subject to fluctuation

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