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Arsenal v Newcastle Prediction, Tips, & Preview – EFL Cup Semi-Final 1st Leg

Bill Gaine on Jan 7, 2025 at 06:41 PM
The Emirates Stadium Home of Arsenal

We have an Arsenal v Newcastle prediction for you plus a breakdown of the betting odds, team news and matchups ahead of their EFL Cup Semi-Final first leg.

Arsenal entered this Semi-Final on the back of a 1-1 draw away to Brighton at the weekend which meant they failed to close ground on Liverpool in the title race.

Newcastle continued their flying form at the weekend with their 1-2 win over Tottenham making it six successive wins in all competitions.

How To Watch Arsenal v Newcastle

When is Arsenal v Newcastle?

Arsenal v Newcastle will take place on Tuesday at 8.00 pm in the EFL Cup.

TV Channel

Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports Football and ITV 1

Where is Arsenal v Newcastle Being Played?

Emirates Stadium, London, England.

Arsenal v Newcastle Odds

Team

Odds

Chance

Arsenal

4/5

55.6%

Newcastle

3/1

25%

Draw

5/2

28.6%

Arsenal are favourites for this game at 4/5 per the latest football odds at BoyleSports.

Arsenal to win Add to betslip

Newcastle find themselves as 3/1 underdogs. Meanwhile, the draw is a 5/2 chance.

Newcastle to win Add to betslip

Handicap Betting

Arsenal: -1 @ 9/5

Newcastle: +1 @ 23/20

Handicap Draw: -1 @ 13/5

Bet on EFL Cup Odds at BoyleSports

Arsenal v Newcastle Preview

Arsenal’s Form 

Ahead of the 24/25 season, there seemed to be a growing pressure on Mikel Arteta’s Arsenal side to land a “major” trophy following finishing the 23/24 season trophyless for the fourth successive time. The improvements under Arteta have been considerable but at some point, they need to land another trophy.

They’ve started the 24/25 season strongly particularly in Cup Competitions where last season they faltered. Along with this EFL Cup Semi-Final, they’re currently third in the Champions League phase and are second in the Premier League though six points behind Liverpool with a game extra played.

24/25 EFL Cup Run

Third Round – Arsenal 5-1 Bolton

Fourth Round – Preston 0-3 Arsenal

Quarter-Final– Arsenal 3-2 Crystal Palace

Semi-Final first leg- Arsenal vs Newcastle

Semi-Final second leg – Newcastle vs Arsenal

Though this is a Semi-Final, Arsenal will play Man United in the FA Cup at the weekend, so it’ll be interesting to see how much they rotate for this game if at all.

Arsenal’s Last Five Results

Brighton 1-1 Arsenal | January 4th | Draw

Brentford 1-3 Arsenal | January 1st | Win

Arsenal 1-0 Ipswich | December 27th | Win

Crystal Palace 1-5 Arsenal | December 21st| Win

Arsenal 3-2 Crystal Palace | December 18th | Win

4 Wins and 1 Draw

Newcastle’s Form 

Since the Saudi takeover of the club in  2021 the club has undergone a steady and consistent rise in stature and consistency going from relegation worries early in their ownership to qualifying and competing in the Champions League along with also reaching an EFL Cup Final. However, the next target will be to finally win a trophy.

Despite a difficult period from September to November in recent weeks, the club has been flying with six successive wins in all competitions including five in the Premier League which has meant they’ve climbed to fifth place and reached the Semi-Finals of the EFL Cup.

24/25 EFL Cup Run

Second Round – Nottingham Forest 1-1 (3-4 Penalties) Newcastle

Third Round – Newcastle 1-0 AFC Wimbledon

Fourth Round– Newcastle 2-0 Chelsea

Quarter-Final – Newcastle 3-1 Brentford

Semi-Final first leg- Arsenal vs Newcastle

Semi-Final second leg – Newcastle vs Arsenal

Newcastle have been runners-up and Quarter-Finalists in the two previous seasons of the EFL Cup and I wouldn’t discount them overcoming Arsenal over two legs.

Newcastle’s Last Five Results

Man United 0-2 Newcastle | December 30th | Win

Newcastle 3-0 Aston Villa | December 26th | Win

Ipswich 0-4 Newcastle | December 21st | Win

Newcastle 3-1 Brentford | December 18th | Win

Newcastle 4-0 Leicester | December 14th | Win

5 Wins

Arsenal v Newcastle Predicted Lineups

Arsenal’s Predicted Starting XI (4-3-3)

GK: Raya.

RB: Timber, CB: Saliba, CB: Gabriel, LB: Lewis-Skelly

CM: Odegaard, CM: Rice, CM: Partey

RW: Sterling, CF: Jesus, LW: Martinelli

Newcastle Predicted Starting XI (4-3-3)

GK: Dubravka.

RB: Livramento, CB: Botman, CB: Burn, LB: Hall

RM: Tonali, CM: Guimarães, LM: Longstaff

RW: Murphy CF: Isak, LW: Gordon

Arsenal v Newcastle Head-To-Head Results & Stats

All-Time Head-To-Head Record

Arsenal wins: 85

Newcastle wins: 70

Draws: 39

Head-To-Head Results Last Five Matches

Newcastle 1-0 Arsenal | Premier League | November 2nd, 2024

Arsenal 4-1 Newcastle | Premier League | February 24th, 2024

Newcastle 1-0 Arsenal | Premier League | November 4th, 2023

Newcastle 0-2 Arsenal | Premier League | May 7th, 2023

Arsenal 0-0 Newcastle | Premier League | January 3rd, 2023

Key Players To Watch

Gabriel Jesus – Arsenal

Jesus is a strange player to judge, when it comes to technical ability, movement and work ethic when playing he plays an integral part in Arteta’s style of play. However, he’s not the most productive in front of goal hence why Man City saw him as surplus to requirements.

This season he has only 7 goals and 2 assists in 25 games, though his performances in this competition have been considerably stronger with 4 goals and 3 assists in just 3 games Jesus is priced at 11/2 to be the first goal scorer and 7/4 to score anytime.

Jesus first goal Add to betslip

Alexander Isak – Newcastle

The “New Zlatan” (25) is one of the most potent finishers in the Premier League and as his nickname suggests also has the skill and holding-the-ball-up ability of his legendary compatriot.

This season he has 14 goals and 4 assists from 21 games including an exceptional record of 12 goals and 4 assists in 17 league appearances. He is 11/2 to score first in this game and 2/1 to score anytime.

Isak first goal Add to betslip

Arsenal v Newcastle Prediction & Best Bet

Prediction: Arsenal 1-1 Newcastle

Arsenal have made the best of what’s been a “favourable” run of fixtures in the competition so far but this presents a very different test with only 2 wins in their last 5 games against Newcastle.

Newcastle have overcome a slump in their form earlier in this season and now look like one of the most dangerous sides in England following six successive wins.

Given Arsenal’s home advantage, they’re worthy favourites but I think there’s value in Newcastle getting a result in this game.

Best Bet: Newcastle or Draw @ 20/21

Newcastle or Draw Add to betslip

Bet on EFL Cup Odds at BoyleSports

*Prices are subject to fluctuation.

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