We have an Arsenal v Newcastle prediction for you plus a breakdown of the odds, team news and matchups ahead of Saturday's late game.
Arsenal are 3rd and 1 point behind Man City and 5 behind Liverpool albeit with a game in hand over the latter. They’re coming off a disappointing 1-0 midweek loss against Porto after conceding an injury-time goal.
Newcastle are 8th and 7 points behind Man City in 6th, somewhat off their 4th finish last season. It should be noted that they’ve struggled with injuries and suspensions this season with a more packed schedule and a relatively small squad.
How To Watch Arsenal v Newcastle
When is Arsenal v Newcastle?
Arsenal v Newcastle will take place on Saturday at 8.00 pm in the Premier League’s late kick-off.
TV Channel
TNT Sports 1
Where is Arsenal v Newcastle Being Played?
Arsenal are at home so this fixture will be played at their home ground the Emirates Stadium.
Arsenal v Newcastle Odds
| Arsenal v Newcastle Betting Odds - Premier League | ||
| Team | Odds | Chance |
| Arsenal | 1/3 | 75% |
| Newcastle | 7/1 | 12.5% |
| The Draw | 4/1 | 20% |
Arsenal are heavy 1/3 favourites to beat Newcastle on Saturday night per the latest football odds at BoyleSports.
Newcastle come into this game as big underdogs of 7/1 to win while the draw is priced up at 4/1 odds.
Handicap Betting
Arsenal: -1 @ 10/11
Newcastle: +1 @ 11/5
Handicap Draw: -1 @ 14/5
Arsenal v Newcastle Preview
Arsenal’s Form
Arsenal are in serious league form with 5 wins from their last 5 matches along with 21 goals scored and only 2 conceded. They may just be coming into a run of form at the right time to win their first Premier League title since 2004. Furthermore, their Expected Points total has them 2nd with 52.58 points, behind only Man City on 54.09. That suggests that there’s a sustainable level to their results and performances.
Midweek, Arsenal slumped to a 1-0 defeat against Porto in the Champions League, where they uncharacteristically had only 7 shots and an XG of 0.42 with 65% possession as they failed to properly penetrate Porto’s defence. The previous Saturday they hammered Burnley 0-5, scoring those goals from an XG of 2.21 showing how clinical they can be.
With Liverpool preoccupied with the Carabao Cup Final on Sunday, Arsenal can go within 2 points of them with a win in this game.
Arsenal’s Last Five Results
Porto 1-0 Arsenal | February 21st | Loss
Burnley 0-5 Arsenal | February 17th | Win
West Ham 0-6 Arsenal | February 11th | Wins
Arsenal 3-1 Liverpool | February 4th | Win
Nottingham Forest 1-2 Arsenal | January 30th | Win
4 Wins and 1 Loss
Newcastle’s Form
Newcastle are in decent albeit unspectacular form. They are below their expectations after last season with 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat from their last 5 league games. Most notably scoring 14 goals but also conceding 12 which is disappointing since they have built their recent rise off of a solid defensive structure. Although their underlying numbers suggest that they’re stronger than the actual table suggests with them 5th on 41.27 points,
Last weekend, Newcastle had a dramatic 2-2 draw against Bournemouth when a late 92nd-minute equaliser through Matt Ritchie, who had only been on the pitch a minute, rescued the draw for Newcastle! It was arguably a fair result though with Newcastle accumulating an XG of 2.38 to their opponent's 2.08.
Newcastle know a victory could see them rise back up to 7th in the table.
Newcastle’s Last Five Results
Newcastle 2-2 Bournemouth | February 17th | Draw
Nottingham Forest 2-3 Newcastle | February 10th | Win
Newcastle 4-4 Luton Town | February 3rd | Draw
Aston Villa 1-3 Newcastle | January 30th | Win
Fulham 0-2 Newcastle | January 27th | Win
3 Wins, 1 Loss and 1 Draw
Arsenal v Newcastle Weather Forecast
The weather Saturday evening in Nottingham is expected to be 4 degrees with no rain.
Arsenal v Newcastle Predicted Lineups
Arsenal’s Predicted Starting XI (4-3-3)
GK: Raya
RB: White, CB: Saliba, CB: Gabriel, LB: Kiwior
RM: Odegaard, CM: Rice, LM: Jorginho
RW: Saka, CF: Trossard, LW: Martinelli
Newcastle’s Predicted Starting XI (4-3-3)
GK: Dubravka
RB: Trippier, CB: Schár, CB: Botman, LB: Burn.
RCM: Longstaff, CM: Guimaraes; LCM: Miley,
RW: Almiron, CF: Gordon; LW Barnes
Arsenal v Newcastle Head-To-Head Results & Stats
All-Time Head-To-Head Record
Arsenal wins: 84
Newcastle wins: 69
Draws: 39
Head-To-Head Results Last Five Matches
Newcastle 1-0 Arsenal | Premier League | November 4th, 2023
Newcastle 0-2 Arsenal | Premier League | May 7th, 2023
Arsenal 0-0 Newcastle | Premier League | January 3rd, 2023
Newcastle 2-0 Arsenal | Premier League | May 16th, 2022
Arsenal 2-0 Newcastle | Premier League | November 27th, 2021
Betting Trends
Goals
Coming into this game, between both teams there has been an average of 3.67 Goals Per Match this season which is more than the league average of 3.23
Across the sides matches 88% have Over 1.5 Goals, 75% have Over 2.5 Goals and 58% have had BTTS.
Cards
Between both sides, they average a sum of 4.25 Cards Per Match, with Arsenal with 1.75 and Newcastle with 2.5.
Corners
The sides average a cumulative 12.17 Corners per match between them with Arsenal having 7.92 and Newcastle earning 4.25.
Scoring Patterns
Arsenal’s busiest period comes in the last 15 minutes where they have scored 15 goals and conceded 4.
Newcastle's busiest period comes straight after the halftime break where they have 13 goals scored and 8 conceded.
Key Players To Watch
Bukayo Saka – Arsenal
The world class Saka (22) has been going from strength to strength in these last two seasons and is now integral to everything good about Arsenal. Last weekend he put in another brilliant performance scoring a brace vs Burnley.
From 33 matches in all competitions this season he has scored 15 goals and provided 13 assists.
Bruno Guimaraes – Newcastle
The Brazilian midfielder is one of the best in the league and could be destined for an even bigger move if Newcastle can’t match his expectations.
Not surprising for a Brazilian, he is an elite dribbler and passer when compared to other central midfielders. His 1.58 Successful Take-Ons Per 90 puts him in the 91st percentile and his 7.06 Progressive Passes in the 87th percentile, making him the club’s best chance at creating scoring opportunities from minimal expected chances.
Arsenal v Newcastle Prediction & Best Bet
Prediction: Arsenal 3-0 Newcastle
Arsenal had an uncharacteristically poor showing midweek against Porto, but their overall form in the league in recent weeks has been nothing short of rampant as they look to stamp their authority further in the league.
While Newcastle are not quite performing at the levels of last season their late equaliser last weekend suggests there remains grit and resilience in them
Arsenal should see off Newcastle comfortably.
Best Bet: Arsenal Win + Under 3.5 Goals @ 11/8
*Prices subject to fluctuation.
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