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AC Milan v Liverpool Prediction, Tips & Betting – Champions League

Bill Gaine on Sept 16, 2024 at 06:00 PM
Champions League Football 2023 24

We have an AC Milan v Liverpool prediction for you plus a breakdown of the betting odds, team news and matchups ahead of Tuesday’s game.

AC Milan are coming off a strong showing at the weekend where they defeated Venezia at home 4-0.

Liverpool, despite the instant good feeling around Arne Slot’s side at the beginning of the season, fell to a 0-1 loss against Nottingham Forest at the weekend.

How To Watch AC Milan v Liverpool

When is AC Milan v Liverpool?

AC Milan v Liverpool will take place on Tuesday, September 17th at 8.00 pm.

TV Channel

Premier Sports 1

Where is AC Milan v Liverpool Being Played?

San Siro, Milan, Italy.

AC Milan v Liverpool Odds

Team

Odds

Chance

AC Milan

11/4

27.8%

Liverpool

20/23

55.6%

Draw

5/2

25%

AC Milan are priced at 11/4 to land a huge early season Champions League victory, Liverpool are 20/23 favourites to bounce back from their weekend defeat and the draw is priced at 5/2.

Handicap Betting

AC Milan: +1 @ 20/23

Liverpool: -1 @ 23/10

Handicap Draw: +1 @ 11/4

Bet on AC Milan v Liverpool Odds at BoyleSports

AC Milan v Liverpool Betting Odds Champions League 2024 25

AC Milan v Liverpool Preview

AC Milan’s Form

AC Milan entered the 24/25 off a decent albeit unspectacular 23/24 campaign where they ended it trophyless but finished 2nd in Serie A but were well off the pace of bitter rivals Inter 19 points back, they also reached the Quarter-Finals of both the Coppa Italia and Europa League. Their transfer business pre-season looks strong too with the likes of Fofana and Pavlovic signing and with few departures of consequence.

While AC Milan have had a slow start to their league campaign with 5 points from their opening 4 league games, their 4-0 victory over Venezia at the weekend means they climbed to 9th place in the league and are only 3 points back of rivals Inter in 2nd place and 4 off Napoli. Their underlying performances remain strong with an Expected Points of 6.85 only putting them behind Juventus (6.87) and Inter (8.72).

This is their toughest test of the season and one which they have before they face Inter at the weekend, this could be one of their biggest weeks of the season come May.

AC Milan’s Last Five Results

AC Milan 4-0 Venezia | September 14th | Win

Lazio 2-2 AC Milan | August 31st | Draw

Parma 2-1 AC Milan | August 24th | Loss

AC Milan 2-2 Torino | August 17th | Draw

Barcelona 2-2 AC Milan (3-4 on Penalties) | August 7th | Draw

1 Win, 3 Draws and 1 Loss

Liverpool’s Form

Liverpool ahead of the season, were in the paradoxical position of being an unknown entity (with regards to the departure of Klopp and Arne Slot taking the helm) consisting of known entities with their squad being largely the same ahead of the new season with the only signing of note being the signing of Chiesa from Juventus late in the window. It was always going to be a club to closely watch this season.

They started their season like a duck to water under Slot with three comfortable victories from their first few league games including a dominant 0-3 win over Man United before the international break. However, on their return at the weekend, they fell to a 0-1 defeat against Nottingham Forest which shows things aren’t though their Expected Points position has them as the league's top-performer on 9.39 points.

Both sides have a history against one another in the competition and will make for an intriguing tie to follow on Tuesday at this early stage of the Champions League.

Liverpool’s Last Five Results

Liverpool 0-1 Nottingham Forest | September 14th | Loss

Man United 0-3 Liverpool | September 1st | Win

Liverpool 2-0 Brentford | August 25th | Win

Ipswich 0-2 Liverpool | August 17th | Win

Liverpool 0-0 Las Palmas | August 11th | Draw

3 Wins, 1 Draw and 1 Loss

AC Milan v Liverpool Predicted Lineups

AC Milan Predicted Starting XI(4-2-3-1)

GK: Maignan

RB: Royal, CB: Tomori, CB: Pavlovic, LB: Hernandez

CM: Fofana, CM: Reijnders

RW: Pulisic, AM: Loftus-Cheek, LW: Leao

CF: Abraham

Liverpool Predicted Starting XI (4-3-3)

GK: Alisson.

RB: Trent, CB: Konaté, CB: Van Dijk, LB: Robertson

RCM: Mac Allister, CM: Gravenberch,

RW: Salah, AM; Szoboszlai, LW: Diaz

CF: Jota

AC Milan v Liverpool Head-To-Head Results & Stats

All-Time Head-To-Head Record

AC Milan wins: 91

Liverpool wins: 81

Draws: 70

Head-To-Head Results

AC Milan 1-2 Liverpool | Champions League | December 7th, 2021

Liverpool 0-0 AC Milan | Champions League | September 15th, 2021

AC Milan 2-1 Liverpool | Champions League | May 23rd, 2007

AC Milan 3-3 Liverpool | Champions League | May 25th, 2005

Key Players To Watch

Rafael Leao – AC Milan

Key to AC Milan’s chances on Tuesday will be the performance of Portuguese International Rafael Leao (25) against Trent (25) who is likely to be Liverpool’s RB. Leao is an electric LW whose paces and dribbling ability could cause Liverpool serious issues he has a npxG + xAG of 0.71 per 90 which puts him in the 95th percentile for all wingers, 5.52 Progressive Carries (90th percentile) and 2.66 Successful Take-Ons (84th percentile).

Mohamed Salah – Liverpool

The man affectionately known as “The Egyptian King” by Liverpool fans might be approaching the “Twilight” of his career at (32) but he remains a constant menace for opposition defenders with a Non-Penalty XG of 0.56, 9.05 Attacking Penalty Touches and 3.85 Shots Total in the 99th, 99th and 98th percentile for all attacking midfielders at wingers.

AC Milan v Liverpool Prediction & Best Bet

Prediction: AC Milan 1-2 Liverpool

AC Milan will be coming off a confidence-building win at the weekend in the league which is no more than they deserved given their statistical performance since the season began.

Contrastingly, Liverpool had both a brilliant start statistically and with regards to points won before last weekend and though they will be dissatisfied with their defeat against Forrest, they remain a serious side.

Don’t think there will be too much in this, but Liverpool may just edge it.

Best Bet: Handicap Draw +1 @ 11/4

Bet on AC Milan v Liverpool Odds at BoyleSports

AC Milan v Liverpool Odds Price Boosts Champions League 2024 25

*Prices are subject to fluctuation.

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