Song of the Year is one of the most competitive and unpredictable categories at the Grammy Awards, rewarding songwriting excellence rather than performance alone.
With global hits, viral moments, and genre-defining releases all in contention, the 2026 Song Of The Year market presents a wide range of narratives for bettors to consider.
Song of the Year Odds
Song Of The Year Odds – 2026 Grammy Awards
Song | Artist(s) | Odds | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
Golden | Huntrix (K‑Pop Demon Hunters) | 4/11 | 73.3% |
Luther | Kendrick Lamar & SZA | 5/1 | 16.7% |
Abracadabra | Lady Gaga | 9/1 | 10% |
DTMF | Bad Bunny | 10/1 | 9.1% |
Wildflower | Billie Eilish | 10/1 | 9.1% |
At the top of the Song Of The Year betting market is Golden, installed as the clear favourite at 4/11 following a year of extraordinary global chart dominance and cultural reach.
Kendrick Lamar’s Luther sits next in the market at 5/1, while Abracadabra by Lady Gaga follows at 9/1. DTMF (Bad Bunny) and Wildflower (Billie Eilish) are priced at 10/1, positioning both as credible outsiders.
Which song is the biggest challenger to Golden for the 2026 Song of the Year Grammy?
Grammy Song Of The Year Betting Favourites 2026
Golden (Huntrix)
Golden – Huntrix (K‑Pop Demon Hunters)
The Song Of The Year favourite, Golden, enters the 2026 Grammys with one of the strongest commercial and cultural cases in recent memory. Written by Ejae, Mark Sonnenblick, 24, Ido, and Teddy, and performed by the fictional K‑pop group Huntrix, the track evolved from a mid‑2025 release into a full‑scale global phenomenon.
Released on July 4, 2025, Golden spent 18 weeks at No.1 on the Billboard Global 200, topped the charts in the United States, United Kingdom, and more than 30 countries worldwide, and became the first female‑led K‑pop song to reach No.1 in the U.S. It also set records as the longest‑running No.1 by an animated act in Hot 100 history.
Is The Song Of The Year Favourite Too Short In The Betting?
Beyond charts, Golden benefited from exceptional visibility across major platforms, including performances on The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon, Saturday Night Live, Jimmy Kimmel Live!, and multiple prestige events, helping sustain momentum deep into the Grammy voting window.
Luther (Kendrick Lamar with SZA)
Luther – Kendrick Lamar With SZA
Luther represents one of the most commercially dominant songwriting achievements of the eligibility year. Written by a large collective led by Kendrick Lamar and SZA, the track reimagines If This World Were Mine into a modern R&B and hip‑hop ballad with broad cross‑genre appeal.
Despite a late‑2024 release, Luther surged throughout 2025, topping the Billboard Hot 100 for 13 consecutive weeks — the second‑longest No.1 run for a hip‑hop song in history — and finishing second on the year‑end chart. Its live performance during the Super Bowl LIX Halftime Show provided one of the single biggest visibility moments in the entire Song Of The Year field.
Abracadabra (Lady Gaga)
Abracadabra – Lady Gaga
With Abracadabra, Lady Gaga brings one of the most critically celebrated songs of the year into the Song Of The Year conversation. Written by Lady Gaga, Andrew Watt, Cirkut, and members of Siouxsie and the Banshees, the track blends electropop, industrial, and house influences into a high‑energy statement piece.
The song achieved top‑five chart placements across major markets and was named the No.1 song of 2025 by both Rolling Stone and Entertainment Weekly. Extensive live performances — including Saturday Night Livee, the VMAs, Coachella, and multiple televised events — helped reinforce its cultural and industry presence throughout the year.
DtMF (Bad Bunny)
DtMF – Bad Bunny
DtMF, short for Debí Tirar Más Fotos, (I Should Have Taken More Photos), emerged as one of the most culturally resonant songs of 2025. Written by Bad Bunny and collaborators including Hydra Hitz and Marco Borrero, the song blends plena rhythms with introspective lyricism centred on memory and regret.
Although it lacked traditional televised performances, DTMF achieved extraordinary visibility through viral momentum, debuting at No.1 on the TikTok Billboard Top 50, topping the Billboard Global 200, and breaking multiple streaming records. At 10/1, it stands out as one of the most interesting value propositions in the market.
Wildflower (Billie Eilish)
Wildflower – Billie Eilish
A slow‑burn standout, Wildflower showcases the songwriting partnership of Billie Eilish and Finneas O’Connell. The track’s emotional depth and longevity helped it become Billie Eilish’s longest‑charting Hot 100 entry, spending 72 weeks on the chart.
Prestige performances on platforms such as A COLORS Show and Saturday Night Live, combined with year‑end streaming dominance, have kept Wildflower firmly in the conversation. Priced at 10/1, it brings a strong narrative built on endurance rather than explosive chart peaks.
Song of the Year Prediction
2026 Grammy Song Of The Year Prediction
While Golden justifiably sits at the top of the market, DTMF offers the most compelling value in the Song Of The Year betting at 10/1. Its combination of viral cultural impact, global chart dominance, and deep emotional resonance aligns closely with how the Recording Academy has increasingly rewarded songwriting in recent years.
Will Cultural Impact Matter More Than Chart Success This Year for Song of the Year?
The expansion of the Recording Academy in 2025, which saw a significant increase in Hispanic and Latino voting members, adds an additional layer of relevance to DTMF's candidacy. In a field defined by standout moments, Bad Bunny's introspective anthem has the profile of a challenger capable of outperforming its current odds.
Previous Song of the Year Winners
Recent Song of the Year Grammy Winners
Year | Winning Song | Songwriter(s) | Performing Artist |
|---|---|---|---|
2000 | Smooth | Rob Thomas, Itaal Shur | Santana feat. Rob Thomas |
2001 | Beautiful Day | U2 (Bono, The Edge, Adam Clayton, Larry Mullen Jr.) | U2 |
2002 | Fallin’ | Alicia Keys | Alicia Keys |
2003 | Don’t Know Why | Jesse Harris | Norah Jones |
2004 | Dance With My Father | Luther Vandross, Richard Marx | Luther Vandross |
2005 | Daughters | John Mayer | John Mayer |
2006 | Sometimes You Can't Make It on Your Own | U2 (Bono, The Edge, Adam Clayton, Larry Mullen Jr.) | U2 |
2007 | Be Without You | Johntá Austin, Mary J. Blige, Bryan‑Michael Cox, Jason Perry | Mary J. Blige |
2008 | Rehab | Amy Winehouse | Amy Winehouse |
2009 | Viva la Vida | Coldplay members | Coldplay |
2010 | Single Ladies (Put a Ring On It) | Beyoncé, The‑Dream, Tricky Stewart, Thaddis Harrell | Beyoncé |
2011 | Need You Now | Lady A (Dave Haywood, Charles Kelley, Hillary Scott), Josh Kear | Lady A |
2012 | Rolling in the Deep | Adele, Paul Epworth | Adele |
2013 | We Are Young | fun., Jack Antonoff, Nate Ruess, Jeff Bhasker, Andrew Dost | fun. feat. Janelle Monáe |
2014 | Royals | Lorde, Joel Little | Lorde |
2015 | Stay With Me (Darkchild Version) | Sam Smith, James Napier, William Phillips | Sam Smith |
2016 | Thinking Out Loud | Ed Sheeran, Amy Wadge | Ed Sheeran |
2017 | Hello | Adele, Greg Kurstin | Adele |
2018 | That’s What I Like | Bruno Mars, Christopher Brody Brown, James Fauntleroy, Philip Lawrence, Ray Charles McCullough II, Jeremy Reeves, Ray Romulus, Jonathan Yip | Bruno Mars |
2019 | This Is America | Donald Glover (Childish Gambino), Ludwig Göransson | Childish Gambino |
2020 | Bad Guy | Billie Eilish, Finneas O’Connell | Billie Eilish |
2021 | I Can’t Breathe | H.E.R., Tiara Thomas, D’Mile | H.E.R. |
2022 | Leave the Door Open | Silk Sonic members (Bruno Mars, Anderson .Paak, D’Mile, Brody Brown) | Silk Sonic |
2023 | Just Like That | Bonnie Raitt | Bonnie Raitt |
2024 | What Was I Made For? | Billie Eilish, Finneas O’Connell | Billie Eilish |
2025 | Not Like Us | Kendrick Lamar | Kendrick Lamar |
How to Watch
How To Watch The 2026 Grammy Awards
The 2026 Grammys, hosted by Trevor Noah, will broadcast live from Crypto.com Arena in Los Angeles on Sunday, February 1st, at 5pm local time and will be available to stream live and on demand on Paramount+.
In the UK and Ireland, the show gets underway at 1am Sunday night/Monday morning and is scheduled to finish at approximately 4.30am. Irish viewers can catch highlights of the show on Monday at 9pm on RTÉ2.
You can also catch the pre-event red carpet action on the official YouTube account of the Grammys.
If you’re weighing up the broader awards landscape, our guide to the 2026 Grammy Album Of The Year betting odds, favourites and predictions offers a deeper look at how full-length releases are shaping this year’s market.
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